Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 2.832939 3.110390 3.409428 3.756735 4.150307 4.583969 5.100016
2025-10-19 2.455698 2.833172 3.266772 3.805612 4.462730 5.245116 6.257799
2025-10-26 2.220055 2.653209 3.174123 3.854639 4.732013 5.841707 7.378666
2025-11-02 2.039475 2.505727 3.087183 3.878048 4.945509 6.366129 8.452426
2025-11-09 1.847117 2.318568 2.923428 3.772868 4.962554 6.613464 9.160288
2025-11-16 1.708775 2.185908 2.813689 3.721070 5.035514 6.931715 9.996429
2025-11-23 1.603487 2.086715 2.737295 3.702927 5.146538 7.307126 10.959927
2025-11-30 1.551591 2.054677 2.748081 3.805895 5.440332 7.984024 12.499333
2025-12-07 1.467675 1.970969 2.677942 3.780873 5.532081 8.348239 13.559569
2025-12-14 1.387125 1.886162 2.599142 3.734130 5.581517 8.643466 14.535058
2025-12-21 1.288020 1.768291 2.463507 3.587748 5.453655 8.621349 14.910902
2025-12-28 1.240178 1.722739 2.432608 3.603101 5.593629 9.076726 16.276389
2026-01-04 1.204580 1.694426 2.427560 3.662124 5.818168 9.719313 18.156502
2026-01-11 1.171113 1.667279 2.422313 3.719984 6.046078 10.397207 20.248593
2026-01-18 1.138265 1.638909 2.412780 3.768885 6.261288 11.076663 22.484880
2026-01-25 1.102490 1.603753 2.389719 3.791786 6.429125 11.681471 24.675895
2026-02-01 1.044409 1.530216 2.299630 3.689579 6.347704 11.758369 25.575214
2026-02-08 1.000690 1.477548 2.241015 3.639230 6.361924 12.039184 27.059291
2026-02-15 0.966128 1.438012 2.202084 3.621593 6.438913 12.466098 29.033595
2026-02-22 0.954860 1.435901 2.226144 3.721683 6.764459 13.497673 32.979938
2026-03-01 0.922764 1.397696 2.185914 3.697363 6.827674 13.926347 35.258286
2026-03-08 0.889147 1.355472 2.136495 3.651926 6.841312 14.237272 37.254420
2026-03-15 0.841855 1.288340 2.040248 3.509609 6.632309 13.973051 37.317650